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In a series of studies on conjunction problems, including the Linda problem (Donovan & Epstein, 1997; Epstein, Denes-Raj, & Pacini, 1995; Epstein & Donovan, 1995; Epstein, Donovan, & Denes-Raj, 1999; Epstein & Pacini, 1995), we concluded that the major reason for the dif culty of the Linda problem is not an absence of knowledge of the conjunction rule or a failure to think of it We demonstrated that almost all people have intuitive knowledge of the conjunction rule, as they apply it correctly in natural contexts, such as in problems about lotteries Nearly all of our participants, whether or not they had formal knowledge of the conjunction rule, reported that winning two lotteries, one with a very low probability of winning and the other with a higher probability, is less likely than is winning either one of them (Epstein et al, 1995).

Psychological management of chronic headaches New York: Guilford Press Martin, S (1995, September) APA to pursue prescription privileges APA Monitor, p 6 Mash, E J, & Barkley, R A (Eds) (1989) Treatment of childhood disorders New York: Guilford Press Maslow, A H (1954) Motivation and personality New York: Harper Maslow, A H (1971) The farther reaches of human nature New York: Viking Press Masten, A S (2001) Ordinary magic: Resilience processes in development American Psychologist, 56, 227 238 Masterson, J L (1981) The narcissistic and borderline disorders: An integrated developmental approach New York: Brunner/Mazel Matarazzo, J D (1980) Behavioral health and behavioral medicine: Frontiers for a new health psychology American Psychologist, 35, 807 817 Matarazzo, J D (1982) Behavioral health s challenge to academic, scientific, and professional psychology American Psychologist, 37, 1 14 Matarazzo, J D (1984) Behavioral immunogens and pathogens in health and illness In B L.

Hammonds & C J Scheirer (Eds), Psychology and health: The master lecture series (Vol 3,.

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The main biochemical changes that occur during ripening, affecting appearance, organoleptic quality, and safety of fermented sausages, are shown in Figure 9.1. These biochemical reactions lead to the formation of a variety of metabolic end products, which are summarized in Table 9.2. Carbohydrates serve as carbon and energy sources for the native microbiota or the added starter culture. Microbial fermentation results in the production of lactic acid, the con guration of which depends upon the dominant species. The lactic acid results in a decrease of the pH value that has a manifold effect on the quality of the product. This pH drop,

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That is, the variance in Y equals the variance of the conditional mean of Y , given X (the rst term in the sum on the right-hand side of Equation 20.10), plus the mean of the conditional variance of Y , given X (the second term on the right), where X represents the vector of covariates X 1 , X 2 , . . . , X K . In linear regression, for example, E(Y | X) = 0 + 1 X 1 + 2 . Dividing both 2 X 2 + + K X K , and Var(Y | X) = sides of Equation 20.10 by Var(Y ) results in 1= Varx [E(Y | X)] E x [Var(Y | X)] + . Var(Y ) Var(Y ) (20.11)

This nding is particularly interesting from the perspective of CEST because it indicates that the experiential system (which knows the conjunction rule intuitively) is sometimes smarter than the rational system (which may not be able to articulate the rule) We also found that when we presented the conjunction rule among other alternatives, thereby circumventing the problem of whether people think of it in the context of the Linda problem, most people selected the wrong.

Notes: Numbers indicate the year the book or instrument was published or widely disseminated. MAPI = Millon Adolescent Personality Inventory; MBHI = Millon Behavioral Health Inventory; MBMD = Millon Behavioral Medicine Diagnostic; MIDC = Millon Inventory of Diagnostic Criteria; MIPS = Millon Index of Personality Styles; MIPS-R = Millon Index of Personality Styles-Revised; PACL = Personality Adjective Check List. The table does not include the trait dimensions assessed by the MIPS and MIPS-R as these do not measure particular personality styles